NBA First Basket Predictions Tonight

Saturday, February 21, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Who will score first tonight? Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for tonight's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Philadelphia 76ers @ New Orleans Pelicans
02/21/2026 06:11 PM
NO
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Anthony Edwards
10.0% (1/10 games)
DeMar DeRozan
10.0% (1/10 games)
Andre Drummond
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
PHI
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
66.7%
Most Likely First Scorers
Tyrese Maxey
30.0% (3/10 games)
Brandin Podziemski
10.0% (1/10 games)
Andre Drummond
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
70.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 22, 2026
Andre Drummond (PHI) - FT 2/2
Tip: NO
Feb 22, 2026
Andre Drummond (PHI) - FT 2/2
Tip: NO
Feb 01, 2026
Tyrese Maxey (PHI) - 2pt Shot
Tip: PHI
Feb 01, 2026
Tyrese Maxey (PHI) - 2pt Shot
Tip: PHI
Mar 25, 2025
Jordan Hawkins (NO) - 2pt Shot
Tip: NO
Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs
02/21/2026 07:11 PM
SA
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Devin Vassell
20.0% (2/10 games)
Victor Wembanyama
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Devin Booker
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
SAC
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
De'Andre Hunter
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Maxime Raynaud
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
DeMar DeRozan
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 22, 2026
De'Aaron Fox (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Feb 22, 2026
De'Aaron Fox (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Nov 16, 2025
Zach LaVine (SAC) - Layup
Tip: SAC
Nov 16, 2025
Zach LaVine (SAC) - Layup
Tip: SAC
Mar 08, 2025
De'Aaron Fox (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SAC
Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls
02/21/2026 07:12 PM
CHI
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
20.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Brandon Ingram
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Bam Adebayo
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Andrew Wiggins
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
DET
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
37.5%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jalen Duren
20.0% (2/10 games)
FT: 2
Dillon Brooks
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Al Horford
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 22, 2026
Jalen Duren (DET) - FT 1/2
Tip: CHI
Feb 22, 2026
Jalen Duren (DET) - FT 1/2
Tip: CHI
Jan 08, 2026
Isaiah Stewart (DET) - Layup
Tip: DET
Jan 08, 2026
Isaiah Stewart (DET) - Layup
Tip: DET
Nov 13, 2025
Duncan Robinson (DET) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CHI
Memphis Grizzlies @ Miami Heat
02/21/2026 07:12 PM
MIA
10 Games
1st Point
80.0%
1st FG
80.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bam Adebayo
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Andrew Wiggins
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1 FT: 1
Bub Carrington
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
Free Throw
30.0%
MEM
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Anthony Edwards
10.0% (1/10 games)
De'Andre Hunter
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Andrew Wiggins
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 22, 2026
Andrew Wiggins (MIA) - Layup
Tip: MIA
Feb 22, 2026
Andrew Wiggins (MIA) - Layup
Tip: MIA
Oct 25, 2025
Ja Morant (MEM) - Jumper
Tip: MEM
Oct 25, 2025
Ja Morant (MEM) - Jumper
Tip: MEM
Oct 18, 2025
Jaylen Wells (MEM) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Houston Rockets @ New York Knicks
02/21/2026 07:40 PM
NY
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
44.4%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jalen Brunson
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 2
Isaiah Stewart
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Adem Bona
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
HOU
10 Games
1st Point
20.0%
1st FG
20.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Cason Wallace
10.0% (1/10 games)
Corey Kispert
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Alperen Sengun
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 22, 2026
OG Anunoby (NY) - Jumper
Tip: HOU
Feb 22, 2026
OG Anunoby (NY) - Jumper
Tip: HOU
Feb 04, 2025
Karl-Anthony Towns (NY) - 2pt Shot
Tip: NY
Feb 04, 2025
Karl-Anthony Towns (NY) - 2pt Shot
Tip: NY
Nov 05, 2024
Jalen Green (HOU) - FT 1/2
Tip: NY