NBA First Basket Predictions Tonight

Friday, April 17, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Who will score first tonight? Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for tonight's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
04/17/2026 06:30 PM
ORL
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Wendell Carter Jr.
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Jaden McDaniels
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Desmond Bane
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
50.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
CHA
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Brandon Miller
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1 FT: 1
LaMelo Ball
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Jaylen Brown
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Mar 19, 2026
Desmond Bane (ORL) - Jumper
Tip: ORL
Jan 23, 2026
Desmond Bane (ORL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Dec 27, 2025
Tyus Jones (ORL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Oct 30, 2025
Franz Wagner (ORL) - 2pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Mar 25, 2025
LaMelo Ball (CHA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CHA
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
04/17/2026 09:00 PM
PHX
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
66.7%
Most Likely First Scorers
Cam Spencer
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Collin Gillespie
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Brice Sensabaugh
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
20.0%
GS
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
40.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Brandin Podziemski
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1 FT: 1
Bub Carrington
10.0% (1/10 games)
Al Horford
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
20.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 06, 2026
Mark Williams (PHX) - 2pt Shot
Tip: PHX
Dec 21, 2025
Devin Booker (PHX) - 2pt Shot
Tip: PHX
Dec 19, 2025
Quinten Post (GS) - 3pt Shot
Tip: PHX
Nov 05, 2025
Devin Booker (PHX) - FT 1/2
Tip: PHX
Apr 09, 2025
Brandin Podziemski (GS) - 3pt Shot
Tip: PHX