MLB Home Run Predictions Tonight

Friday, April 17, 2026 • 2026 Season

Who will hit a home run tonight? Stats-based MLB home run predictions with top hitters, team HR rates, and head-to-head history for tonight's games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
HR Tracker HR Stats
New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs
02:20 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
20 Games
HR Game %
60.0%
HR/Game
1.05
First HR %
25.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Happ 4 HR (20.0%)
Swanson 4 HR (20.0%)
Bregman 3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.4
New York Mets
19 Games
HR Game %
47.4%
HR/Game
0.74
First HR %
36.8%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Alvarez 4 HR (21.1%)
Robert Jr. 2 HR (10.5%)
Bichette 1 HR (5.3%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.6
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
Mar 28, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 30, 2025
Tucker (CHC)
Inning T5
Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians
06:10 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
20 Games
HR Game %
60.0%
HR/Game
0.85
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Ramírez 4 HR (20.0%)
Rocchio 3 HR (15.0%)
Arias 2 HR (10.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.7
Baltimore Orioles
19 Games
HR Game %
68.4%
HR/Game
0.89
First HR %
52.6%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Henderson 6 HR (31.6%)
Jackson 4 HR (21.1%)
Basallo 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.8
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Rutschman (BAL)
Inning T1
Mar 28, 2025
Holliday (BAL)
Inning T3
Mar 29, 2025
Cowser (BAL)
Inning T1
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
06:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
17 Games
HR Game %
64.7%
HR/Game
1.06
First HR %
47.1%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Schwarber 5 HR (29.4%)
Harper 4 HR (23.5%)
García 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.9
Atlanta Braves
20 Games
HR Game %
65.0%
HR/Game
1.15
First HR %
45.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Olson 5 HR (25.0%)
Baldwin 5 HR (25.0%)
Albies 3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ruiz (WSH)
Inning B5
Mar 29, 2025
Tatis Jr. (SD)
Inning B1
Tampa Bay Rays @ Pittsburgh Pirates
06:45 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
19 Games
HR Game %
52.6%
HR/Game
1.11
First HR %
47.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Lowe 7 HR (36.8%)
Cruz 5 HR (26.3%)
O'Hearn 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.5
Tampa Bay Rays
18 Games
HR Game %
44.4%
HR/Game
0.83
First HR %
33.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Caminero 4 HR (22.2%)
Díaz 3 HR (16.7%)
DeLuca 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.0
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner (TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
N. Gonzales (PIT)
Inning T6
Mar 29, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals
06:45 PM ET
Washington Nationals
19 Games
HR Game %
63.2%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
36.8%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Abrams 6 HR (31.6%)
Wood 5 HR (26.3%)
Wiemer 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
San Francisco Giants
19 Games
HR Game %
36.8%
HR/Game
0.47
First HR %
21.1%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Adames 3 HR (15.8%)
Devers 2 HR (10.5%)
Bader 1 HR (5.3%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.7
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ruiz (WSH)
Inning B5
Mar 29, 2025
Ruiz (WSH)
Inning B2
Mar 30, 2025
Bell (WSH)
Inning B4
Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees
07:05 PM ET
New York Yankees
20 Games
HR Game %
70.0%
HR/Game
1.3
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Judge 8 HR (40.0%)
Rice 6 HR (30.0%)
Grisham 2 HR (10.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.6
Kansas City Royals
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.75
First HR %
35.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Jensen 4 HR (20.0%)
Perez 3 HR (15.0%)
India 2 HR (10.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.6
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Wells (NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 29, 2025
Goldschmidt (NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 30, 2025
Judge (NYY)
Inning B1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins
07:10 PM ET
Miami Marlins
19 Games
HR Game %
52.6%
HR/Game
0.74
First HR %
31.6%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Hicks 4 HR (21.1%)
Caissie 2 HR (10.5%)
Conine 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.4
Milwaukee Brewers
20 Games
HR Game %
60.0%
HR/Game
0.9
First HR %
35.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Bauers 5 HR (25.0%)
Sánchez 5 HR (25.0%)
Turang 3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.7
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Wells (NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 28, 2025
Cruz (PIT)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Goldschmidt (NYY)
Inning B1
Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox
07:15 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
18 Games
HR Game %
50.0%
HR/Game
0.67
First HR %
27.8%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Abreu 3 HR (16.7%)
Contreras 3 HR (16.7%)
Story 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.0
Detroit Tigers
19 Games
HR Game %
47.4%
HR/Game
0.95
First HR %
47.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Dingler 5 HR (26.3%)
Carpenter 3 HR (15.8%)
Pérez 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Abreu (BOS)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Heim (TEX)
Inning B3
St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
08:10 PM ET
Houston Astros
19 Games
HR Game %
63.2%
HR/Game
1.05
First HR %
47.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Alvarez 6 HR (31.6%)
Walker 4 HR (21.1%)
Smith 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
St. Louis Cardinals
17 Games
HR Game %
64.7%
HR/Game
1.06
First HR %
35.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Walker 8 HR (47.1%)
Gorman 2 HR (11.8%)
Urías 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.2
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Nootbaar (STL)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
Mar 30, 2025
Scott II (STL)
Inning B2
Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins
08:10 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.6
First HR %
65.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Buxton 4 HR (20.0%)
Lee 4 HR (20.0%)
Bell 3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.9
Cincinnati Reds
19 Games
HR Game %
73.7%
HR/Game
1.16
First HR %
31.6%
Most Likely HR Hitters
De La Cruz 7 HR (36.8%)
Stewart 7 HR (36.8%)
Steer 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.1
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ramos (SF)
Inning T4
Mar 29, 2025
Flores (SF)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Ramos (SF)
Inning T5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
08:40 PM ET
Colorado Rockies
20 Games
HR Game %
60.0%
HR/Game
1.1
First HR %
40.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Goodman 5 HR (25.0%)
Moniak 5 HR (25.0%)
Johnston 2 HR (10.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.5
Los Angeles Dodgers
18 Games
HR Game %
66.7%
HR/Game
1.44
First HR %
44.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Ohtani 5 HR (27.8%)
T. Hernández 4 HR (22.2%)
Freeman 3 HR (16.7%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner (TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
Edman (LAD)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Dingler (DET)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Freeman (LAD)
Inning B1
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels
09:38 PM ET
Los Angeles Angels
20 Games
HR Game %
70.0%
HR/Game
1.5
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Trout 6 HR (30.0%)
Neto 5 HR (25.0%)
Soler 5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.9
San Diego Padres
18 Games
HR Game %
50.0%
HR/Game
0.78
First HR %
33.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Merrill 3 HR (16.7%)
Laureano 3 HR (16.7%)
Bogaerts 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
6.0
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Slater (CHW)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Tatis Jr. (SD)
Inning B1
Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks
09:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks
19 Games
HR Game %
47.4%
HR/Game
0.63
First HR %
31.6%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Marte 4 HR (21.1%)
Arenado 2 HR (10.5%)
Carroll 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.3
Toronto Blue Jays
19 Games
HR Game %
42.1%
HR/Game
0.84
First HR %
26.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Giménez 3 HR (15.8%)
Varsho 3 HR (15.8%)
Okamoto 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.6
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Rutschman (BAL)
Inning T1
Mar 28, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Chicago White Sox @ Athletics
09:40 PM ET
Athletics
19 Games
HR Game %
57.9%
HR/Game
0.84
First HR %
31.6%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Langeliers 6 HR (31.6%)
Butler 2 HR (10.5%)
Muncy 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.1
Chicago White Sox
20 Games
HR Game %
40.0%
HR/Game
0.75
First HR %
35.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Murakami 4 HR (20.0%)
Montgomery 3 HR (15.0%)
Pereira 3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.9
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Slater (CHW)
Inning B2
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom (OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Rooker (OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 30, 2025
Langeliers (OAK)
Inning T4
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
09:40 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
19 Games
HR Game %
47.4%
HR/Game
0.63
First HR %
42.1%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Donovan 2 HR (10.5%)
Naylor 2 HR (10.5%)
Raleigh 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.0
Texas Rangers
19 Games
HR Game %
68.4%
HR/Game
1.05
First HR %
47.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Seager 5 HR (26.3%)
Nimmo 3 HR (15.8%)
Burger 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Abreu (BOS)
Inning T5
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom (OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Heim (TEX)
Inning B3

Frequently Asked Questions

Our predictions are based on historical home run data for each team playing tonight. The "Most Likely HR Hitters" section shows players with the highest home run rates for each team, along with their HR counts and percentages this season. We also show team-level stats like HR Game % and HRs per game to help you identify the most HR-friendly matchups.
Home run outcomes are inherently unpredictable, but our predictions highlight teams and players with the strongest HR tendencies based on historical data. Teams with higher confidence badges (more games in the sample) tend to produce more reliable predictions. Use these as a research tool alongside factors like pitching matchups, ballpark dimensions, and weather conditions.
Key factors include the batter's historical HR rate and recent power numbers, the opposing pitcher's HR/9 rate, ballpark dimensions and altitude (Coors Field being the most HR-friendly), weather conditions like wind direction and temperature, and lineup position. Our stats show each team's first HR percentage and average first HR inning to help you make informed picks.